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economic indicator

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on October 16, 2008 at 12:11:14 pm

Leading Indicators

Economic indicators that help to inform analysts about the direction of the economy:

Table of Contents:

Leading Indicators
Trend watchers
Future prediction?

Spread of Junk bonds (high yield bonds) over Treasuries:

If the spread of junk bonds over comparable Treasuries widens, that is a good indicator that bond traders are expecting a recession. Risk premiums, or spreads, on speculative bonds in 10/2008 (the middle of the credit crisis) widened to the highest level since the great depression, indicating that bond speculators were pricing in a huge recession.

Baltic Dry Index:

a benchmark for global freight costs (indicator that mirrors price of shipping bulk products such as iron ore, coal or grains) read more here:

PMI -

another leading index: measures the rise and fall of manufacturing in the USA....is a leading indicator of economic activity

Trend watchers

see our discussion of global trends

Future prediction?

Here is a list of sites that try to predict what is going to happen next....enjoy...

predicting the future

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In this wiki, you will find a collection of the students notes on a variety of global issues, with a focus on international finance, international relations, politics and business. Clearly not all of the content is our own, nor do we endorse students opinions posted on our pages. There have been many contributors to this site, and our role is just to moderate the content and make sure it fits the "GloboTrends" theme. We try to link properly and send readers to other interesting news sites. If you see any inappropriate material, please let us know.

What are "GloboTrends?"

“GloboTrends” are fundamental underlying trends, which means that they are important, but might not be obvious. Many trends are interconnected, and have global implications. Not paying attention to the development of global trends in can come back to haunt any business person, and so… we have dedicated ourselves to summarizing these events in simple language, and we are trying to show how these events might be important to different regions, and to different industries.